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7th Meeting of the Expert Group on Informal Sector Statistics (Delhi
Group) New Delhi, 2 - 4
February 2004 |
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Session No2 |
Improving the quality of Informal Sector
Statistics – Country Experience |
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Impact of Policy Changes on the Informal Economy: Informalisation – A
Sectoral Perspective |
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By |
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National Council for Applied Economic Research,
India |
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In this exercise we use the NSSO
(55th round) data to measure the share of informal workers in
different sectors of the economy. The procedure is by identifying the sectors
as formal and informal on the basis of the manufacturing activities carried out
on an industrial classification basis. Such a scrutiny of the data helps in
understanding the contribution of the informal sector in the Indian economy,
and its role in employment creation, production and income generation. As in
other developing countries the concept of informal economy is not
straightforward. Informality is a
complex phenomenon, making it very difficult to quantify this in an economy and
thus build a systematic data set.
The
paper draws heavily from the study conducted by NCAER under an IDRC funded project (Sinha, Siddiqui,
Munjal and Subudhi, 2003). We have traced
the formal and informal sector interrelationship through a Social Accounting
Matrix (SAM) framework.
With
wide range of activities under the sphere of informal activities, the
parameters may be quite varied to describe the informal sector. So we need to first define how we perceive
the informal sector. To understand the macro aspects of the informal sector we
consider three perspectives through which the informal sector is defined: (a)
small-scale production, which is identified as unregistered part of a sector in
the National Statistics; (b) informal ‘factor ownership’: workers involved in
casual work and own-account workers and (c) households: having members involved
in informal activities.
We
measure the size and characteristics of the informal economy by analysing
various published and raw data collected by the central statistical office.
Such data analysis helps in improvement of economic statistics and national
accounts as a base for macro economic analysis, planning and policy formulation
and also in understanding the contribution of the informal sector on the many
aspects of the economy.
One of the
objectives of this study is to build the informal sector data into a framework
that helps in studying the impact policy changes on this sector. The role of the informal sector in employment, production and income generation can be analysed
through a framework that interlinks the different agents in the economy. The
macro policies impact the informal sector and the informal sector affect
production, employment and income distribution of other sectors as well. So
understanding the interlinkages of the informal sector with other sectors of
the economy is important to trace the impact of macro policy changes on this
sector and the people involved in this sector.
CHART 1. FLOW CHART ON INFORMAL SECTOR CLASSIFICATION

A
growing dissatisfaction with the system of national accounting, which mainly
emphasised on growth without any regard for distributional aspects led to the
development of Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs) during the 70s. The pioneer in building a systematic social
system was Richard Stone as an extension of input-output data and analysis (see
Stone, 1970, 1971, 1981, 1985 and 1986). Important distinctions that can be
made in the SAMs are that between production activities and commodity accounts.
Such distinctions would also enable analysing the income generating role
of the different types of production
activities that produce the same Type of commodity, like the formal and
informal dichotomy. A SAM would show how sectoral value added would accrue to
various factors of production and their institutional owners, and how these
incomes are spent. Khan and Thorbecke (1988) have considered the utility of a
SAM as a useful conceptual framework. This framework can show that
interrelationship between (a) structure of production (b) distribution of value
added generated by production activities and yielding factoral income
distribution and (c) the income distribution by socio-economic groups and
corresponding consumption and saving behaviour of these groups. In their work where they have identified
formal and informal production process, the factors of production have been
broken down according to such criteria as labour skills or occupation of the
worker, paid unpaid (self employed), location (urban, rural) and informal and
formal capital income.
The
transformation from value added from various kinds of production activities to
the factoral income distribution and corresponding consumption is a major
contribution of this work in building a consistency framework. In their SAM framework they have described
three endogenous accounts i.e., factors, institutions and production activities
and three exogenous accounts, government, capital and rest of the world. The interest was to study the impact on
incomes of factors, households and production.
The 115-sector input-output table
provided by the CSO for the year 1993-94, has been aggregated to 11 sectors
with their formal informal dimensions. The formal informal identification of
the sectors is done by scrutinising the nature of work involved in them. While
deciding on the sectors, it is to be kept in mind that the sectors are quite
heterogeneous with respect to each other. The sectors are as follows:
1.
Agriculture
(Informal)
2.
Agro-processing
(Formal)
3.
Agro-processing
(Informal)
4.
Readymade
Garments (Formal)
5.
Readymade
Garments (Informal)
6.
Other
Manufacturing Goods (Formal)
7.
Other
Manufacturing Goods (Informal)
8.
Construction
(Informal)
9.
Other Services
(Formal)
10.
Other Services
(Informal)
11.
Government
Services (Formal)
The share of informality has been a
concern while formulating our sectoral groupings. To break up the intermediate
flow into formal and informal parts, two aspects are considered. One is the output break up and the other the
input break up. The production output
flow is split into formal and informal part by considering the share of output
that is produced formally using the Enterprise Surveys, ASI and NAS
information. At present the input flows
are broken up using output share of formal and informal parts of a sector. Such break ups may not be very accurate, but
there is a data constraint in formulating better breakups.
While constructing the 1999-00 SAM from
1993-94 input-output table, the coefficients are updated using relative price
information to arrive at 1999-00 values.
The value added and outputs for the sectors are further adjusted into
formal and informal parts for 1999-00, using the GDP and NDP information
available for the year from the NAS. It should be noted here that value added
and outputs are not directly available for all our sectors from NAS. The
sectors for which they are directly available are - Agriculture, Construction
Services and Public Administration and defence. For manufactured goods, NAS
gives unadjusted value added from both registered and unregistered sectors.
Total adjusted value added for the whole sector is also given. Hence computing adjusted
value added for all the sectors and combining registered and unregistered, we
get required value added for individual items that comprise of manufactured
goods. To get value of output for sectors for which these are not available
from NAS, we use value added output ratio of 1993-94 I-O table and apply it on
value added information. Using these ratios we get value added and outputs for
all the 11 sectors of our study. From NAS, we get registered and unregistered
value added for all the sectors. The
sectors are finally broken into formal and informal components using the shares
of registered and unregistered in total value added.
To get the worker information, we have used data from
surveys conducted by National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) on
'Employment-Unemployment' and 'Informal Non-Agricultural Enterprises' during
the 55th Round for the year 1999-2000. Also we have used NSSO survey
on 'Consumer Expenditure' to get the expenditure pattern of each type of
household. 'Employment-Unemployment' and 'Consumer Expenditure' are household
surveys conducted both in rural and urban areas. In all, 97986 rural and 67258
urban households were surveyed. All the households gave information on work
status of each of its member. So the survey gives information of 819013 persons
- of which 62 % are from rural areas and 38 % from urban areas. Employment
details of all these people are collected, which includes, their nature of
work, the industry to which they belong (to be entered according to NIC-98
classification at 5-digit level), the wages they earn, number of persons hired
by the industry to which they belong and whether the industry uses electricity
for manufacturing. The 'work status' describes the nature of work of the
household members.
The distribution of workers by each of
the 11 sectors into different types of factors of production is computed by
using the data from the Employment-Unemployment Survey (Round 55) of the
NSSO. In this survey, each household
member is asked about his/her status of work. We process the information and
distinguish the following 12 factors of production.
1.
Labour Casual
- Female
2.
Labour Casual
- Male
3.
Labour HB -
Female
4.
Labour HB -
Male
5.
Labour Regular
- Female
6.
Labour Regular
- Male
7.
OAW - Female
8.
OAW - Male
9.
OAW HB -
Female
10.
OAW HB - Male
11.
Employer -
Female
12.
Employer -
Male
Casual labour, male or female, are
informal workers as they get the wage returns according to the terms of daily
or periodic work contract, both in formal and informal sectors. Regular wage
earners are formal workers as they get returns on regular basis and employers
are formal capital owners. The Employers employ either 10 or more workers with
the electricity or employ 20 or more workers without the electricity. Rest of
the employers are called Own Account Workers. All these employment details were
used in working out the number of workers employed in each of our sectors. For
this exercise, we mapped the industry codes that are entered at 5-digit level
with our sectors. So each of our sectors became an aggregation of number of
industry codes. We followed the
assumption here that there are no formal workers and capital owners in informal
sectors. So, whatever formal workers/capitalists we got in informal part of the
sector, we clubbed them with informal workers of that sector. It should be noted here that activity
involved in each industry code behaves differently in rural and urban areas and
hence was carefully scrutinised to conclude whether it can be called formal or
informal. This gave us different formal informal sectoral aggregation for rural
and urban areas. Formal industry codes aggregate to form the formal part of a
sector. Same holds true for the informal part.
In our study, we captured the
information on home-based workers too. Home based workers - both labour and own
account workers - form some proportion of informal workforce. To get this
proportion, we used data collected by NSSO in their survey for 'Informal
Non-Agricultural Enterprises'. In total, 197649 numbers of such enterprises
were surveyed. These enterprises are classified as home-based or otherwise
depending on the location of the enterprise. In percentage terms, of the total
informal enterprises, 32.1% are home-based and rest are non-home-based. The
workers employed in home-based enterprises are called home-based workers and
those employed in non-home-based enterprises are called non-home-based workers
or other informal workers. Each worker's status of work was also recorded
depending on which, we called them casual labourers or own account workers.
Using these data, we got the proportion of home-based workers in total workers
employed in informal sectors. Again the mapping of industry codes, given in
5-digit, with our set of sectors was carried out using the same aggregation
scheme as done before. We have also distinguished workers as male or female and
hence we obtained following proportions:
Table II.1. Proportion of home-based workers in total
workers for
informal
non-agricultural sectors
|
|
Casual Worker |
Own Account Worker |
Total |
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|
Male HB (as % of total male Casual workers) |
Female HB (as % of total female Casual workers) |
Male HB (as % of total male OAW) |
Female HB (as % of total female OAW) |
Casual Worker |
Own Account Worker |
|
RURAL AREA |
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|
Agroprocessing |
16.7 |
31.3 |
46.9 |
77.7 |
28.35% |
71.65% |
|
Other Manufacturing |
18.7 |
25.0 |
54.8 |
84.5 |
30.90% |
69.10% |
|
Readymade Garments |
14.5 |
18.2 |
43.4 |
83.7 |
23.56% |
76.44% |
|
Construction |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
28.98% |
71.02% |
|
Other Services |
16.3 |
14.0 |
27.9 |
46.6 |
22.17% |
77.83% |
|
URBAN AREA |
|
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|
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|
Agroprocessing |
25.0 |
37.0 |
35.8 |
74.7 |
40.46% |
59.54% |
|
Other Manufacturing |
21.4 |
37.5 |
31.6 |
72.4 |
47.81% |
52.19% |
|
Readymade Garments |
30.4 |
36.8 |
35.2 |
76.5 |
45.05% |
54.95% |
|
Construction |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
43.28% |
56.72% |
|
Other Services |
12.8 |
20.0 |
18.2 |
33.3 |
39.56% |
60.44% |
Table II.2.
Percentage Distribution of
Factor Owners In Sectors for all workers
|
All Workers |
|
Casual Labour |
Home Based Labour |
Regular Labour |
Own Account Worker |
Own Account Worker - Home Based |
Employer |
% to all workers |
|
Agriculture |
I |
68.65 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
31.35 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
100.0 |
|
Agro Processing |
F |
30.62 |
0.00 |
37.49 |
31.60 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
100.0 |
|
Agro Processing |
I |
41.25 |
15.39 |
0.00 |
17.00 |
26.35 |
0.00 |
100.0 |
|
Readymade Garments |
F |
25.67 |
0.00 |
38.93 |
34.18 |
0.00 |
1.22 |
100.0 |
|
Readymade Garments |
I |
32.13 |
5.95 |
0.00 |
29.16 |
32.76 |
0.00 |
100.0 |
|
Other manufacturing goods |
F |
36.89 |
0.00 |
43.71 |
19.10 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
100.0 |
|
Other manufacturing goods |
I |
47.43 |
15.03 |
0.00 |
17.13 |
20.41 |
0.00 |
100.0 |
|
Construction |
I |
79.11 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
20.89 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
100.0 |
|
Other Services |
F |
11.09 |
0.00 |
51.35 |
37.47 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
100.0 |
|
Other Services |
I |
55.15 |
10.70 |
0.00 |
24.68 |
9.48 |
0.00 |
100.0 |
|
Government Services |
F |
3.00 |
0.00 |
97.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
100.0 |
|
Total |
|
54.69 |
2.00 |
12.19 |
28.70 |
2.39 |
0.04 |
100.0 |
The following table gives the distribution of female and
male workforce across sectors.
Table II.3. Percentage Share of Workers by Sectors
|
|
|
Female Workers across sectors |
Male Workers across sectors |
|
Agriculture |
I |
72.51 |
52.38 |
|
Agro Processing |
F |
1.16 |
0.72 |
|
Agro Processing |
I |
3.24 |
1.34 |
|
Readymade Garments |
F |
0.29 |
0.35 |
|
Readymade Garments |
I |
0.19 |
0.24 |
|
Other manufacturing goods |
F |
3.15 |
6.91 |
|
Other manufacturing goods |
I |
3.69 |
4.76 |
|
Construction |
I |
1.16 |
4.30 |
|
Other Services |
F |
8.62 |
14.51 |
|
Other Services |
I |
4.98 |
11.30 |
|
Government Services |
F |
1.02 |
3.17 |
|
Total |
|
100.00 |
100.00 |
Apart from the worker information, average wages earned by each type of labour and for each sector are also obtained from NSSO data. We use this worker and wages information to get the value added distribution of our factors of production across sectors. We distribute the NAS value added for each sector according to the factor ownership. The NAS provides sectoral information with respect to a broad division of registered and unregistered parts of value added. Labour and capital earnings from NAS are then distributed according to NSSO share of each type of labour and capital ownership and wage and capital earning rates both for male and female. NSSO shares have been used to get an estimate of value added distribution by casual labour, regular labour, home-based labour, own account workers, own account home-based workers and employers by gender.
The factor ownership and the earnings by gender as depicted in the following tables reflect the fact that women workers generally earn less compared to their male counterparts in all sectors except as own account workers in agriculture and employers in other manufacturing formal sector. However, as we do not robust gender specific rates of returns these numbers are not as such very representative. Both male casual labourers and regular labourers earn substantially more than female counterparts.
Table
II.4. Percentage distribution Of Factor
Owners in Industry sectors
|
Sector |
Agri. |
Agro Process ing |
Agro Process ing |
Ready made Garments |
Ready made Garments |
Other manufactur-ing goods |
Other manufactur-ing goods |
Cons- truc-tion |
Other Ser-vices |
Other Services |
Govt. Services S |
Total |
|
Factors of Production |
I |
F |
I |
F |
I |
F |
I |
I |
F |
I |
F |
|
|
Lab Cas – Female |
28.85 |
14.55 |
17.36 |
4.91 |
6.40 |
7.87 |
12.19 |
8.76 |
2.63 |
9.91 |
0.46 |
19.76 |
|
Lab Cas – Male |
39.80 |
16.07 |
23.89 |
20.76 |
25.73 |
29.02 |
35.24 |
70.35 |
8.46 |
45.24 |
2.54 |
34.93 |
|
Lab HB – Female |
0.00 |
0.00 |
8.65 |
0.00 |
1.53 |
0.00 |
5.17 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.76 |
0.00 |
0.56 |
|
Lab HB – Male |
0.00 |
0.00 |
6.74 |
0.00 |
4.43 |
0.00 |
9.86 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
8.94 |
0.00 |
1.44 |
|
Lab Reg – Female |
0.00 |
7.90 |
0.00 |
10.25 |
0.00 |
3.11 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
11.14 |
0.00 |
10.00 |
1.99 |
|
Lab Reg – Male |
0.00 |
29.59 |
0.00 |
28.68 |
0.00 |
40.60 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
40.21 |
0.00 |
87.00 |
10.20 |
|
OAW – Female |
4.65 |
14.41 |
4.64 |
7.64 |
2.41 |
3.23 |
0.78 |
0.15 |
4.01 |
1.16 |
0.00 |
3.79 |
|
OAW – Male |
26.69 |
17.19 |
12.36 |
26.54 |
26.75 |
15.86 |
16.35 |
20.74 |
33.46 |
23.51 |
0.00 |
24.92 |
|
OAW - HB – Female |
0.00 |
0.00 |
16.12 |
0.00 |
12.27 |
0.00 |
3.83 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.99 |
0.00 |
0.59 |
|
OAW - HB – Male |
0.00 |
0.00 |
10.24 |
0.00 |
20.49 |
0.00 |
16.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
8.49 |
0.00 |
1.79 |
|
Employer – Female |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
Employer – Male |
0.00 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
1.22 |
0. 00 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
|
Total |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Table II.5. Percentage Distribution of Factor Earnings in Industry sectors
|
Sector |
Agri cul-ture |
Agro Process ing |
Agro Processing |
Ready made Gar-ments |
Ready made Garments |
Other manufacturing goods |
Other manufacturing goods |
Construction |
Other Services |
Other Ser-vices |
Govt. Services |
Total |
|
Factors of Production |
I |
F |
I |
F |
I |
F |
I |
I |
F |
I |
F |
|
|
Lab Cas – Female |
15.92 |
4.47 |
8.20 |
1.67 |
4.92 |
1.70 |
4.31 |
5.34 |
0.72 |
2.60 |
0.00 |
5.66 |
|
Lab Cas – Male |
34.08 |
7.68 |
18.77 |
9.05 |
24.14 |
10.07 |
23.20 |
67.09 |
4.06 |
26.82 |
0.00 |
21.39 |
|
Lab HB – Female |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.04 |
0.00 |
0.55 |
0.00 |
0.91 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.23 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
|
Lab HB – Male |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.65 |
0.00 |
2.11 |
0.00 |
3.25 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.65 |
0.00 |
0.54 |
|
Lab Reg – Female |
0.00 |
2.64 |
0.00 |
4.26 |
0.00 |
0.83 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
4.86 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
3.44 |
|
Lab Reg – Male |
0.00 |
16.89 |
0.00 |
16.68 |
0.00 |
19.07 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
22.66 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
17.57 |
|
OAW – Female |
15.00 |
30.87 |
7.31 |
14.75 |
2.66 |
11.39 |
1.42 |
0.20 |
7.23 |
2.30 |
0.00 |
7.46 |
|
OAW – Male |
35.00 |
36.82 |
19.48 |
51.23 |
29.53 |
55.88 |
29.76 |
27.37 |
60.31 |
46.61 |
0.00 |
39.11 |
|
OAW - HB – Female |
0.00 |
0.00 |
25.40 |
0.00 |
13.52 |
0.00 |
6.97 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.96 |
0.00 |
0.79 |
|
OAW - HB – Male |
0.00 |
0.00 |
16.13 |
0.00 |
22.58 |
0.00 |
30.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
16.83 |
0.00 |
3.80 |
|
Employer – Female |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
Employer – Male |
0.00 |
0.64 |
0.00 |
2.36 |
0.00 |
1.02 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
|
Total |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.00 |
100.0 |
100.00 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
100.00 |
0.00 |
100.00 |
The activity of each member within a
household is obtained from the NSSO's 55th round survey (NSSO,
1999-00). We have used only labour force activities for building the SAM as a
base data set for a CGE model (Sinha, Siddiqui, Munjal and Subudhi, 2003).
We
distinguish households first as rural or urban households. Next these two types
of households are classified as formal and informal by examining the NIC and
the “Type” codes of households as formal-informal. The “Type” code formulated
on the basis of composite household information, and the household NIC codes
are provided by NSSO. Households in the urban region are classified as formal
with “Type” codes as employers and regular wage earners. In rural regions,
exceptions are households with NIC agriculture; even with formal
"Type" code, such households are classified as informal. Finally,
households are classified into different income levels, i.e., poor and non-poor
within each broad category. The
households are then scrutinised to identify the different types of workers and
factor owners distinguished by gender that make up the household.
The National Sample Survey Organisation
(NSSO) survey assigns a five-digit industry code based on the National
Industrial Classification (NIC) 1998 to each surveyed household and the status
code to each household member based on the nature of their principal activity.
Each 5-digit industry code is mapped with our sectors. And the formal-informal
identification of the sectors is done after scrutinising these activities and
by using qualitative judgement. This exercise is done separately for the rural
and urban regions, as there are certain activities, which are informal in rural
sector but formal in, urban. The survey also assigns a 'Type' code giving
information on the characteristics of the surveyed households. These type codes
are different for rural and urban areas. A household is given certain type code
depending on the economic activity of the members of the household during the
365 days preceding the date of survey from which the major income of the
household was generated.
|
NSSO
Household Type Code Description |
|
|
For Rural Areas |
For Urban Areas |
|
1. Self employed in non-agriculture |
6. Self Employed |
|
2. Agricultural Labour |
7. Regular Wage/Salary Earner |
|
3. Other labour |
8. Casual Labour |
|
4. Self Employed in
agriculture |
9. Others |
|
5. Others |
|
Using these type codes and the status codes, we assign our
own Household Type codes to each household. Our classification of households
for rural and urban areas is as follows.
|
Our
Household Type Code Description |
|
|
For Rural Areas |
For Urban Areas |
|
1.
Non-agriculturist - Poor - Formal |
7. Poor –
Formal |
|
2.
Non-agriculturist - Non Poor - Formal |
8. Non Poor
– Formal |
|
3.
Agriculturist - Poor - Informal |
9. Poor –
Informal |
|
4.
Agriculturist - Non Poor - Informal |
10. Non Poor
– Informal |
|
5.
Non-agriculturist - Poor - Informal |
|
|
6.
Non-agriculturist - Non Poor - Informal |
|
For Rural Areas, NSSO Household Type
codes 1, 2 and 3 are all called Informal Agriculturists in our type of
classification. These household types are then split into poor and non-poor
using the Planning Commission Poverty lines. According to the Planning
Commission criteria for rural sector, those earning less than Rs. 327.56 are
poor and for the urban sector, those earning less than an average of Rs. 454.11
per month fall below poverty line. The Type code 'Self employed in Non
agriculture' is further studied and broken into formal and informal part. We
adopt the CSO definition and assume that self-employed are actually formal
employers who employ either 10 or more workers with the aid of power or 20 or
more workers without the aid of power. Rest of the self-employed are informal
employers. These household types are further split into poor and non-poor
categories using poverty lines as mentioned earlier.
For Urban areas, household type -
'regular wage earners', as in NSSO classification, is classified as formal
households and type 'casual labour' as informal households. Moreover, 'self employed' are both formal and
informal, and are again broken into these as in the rural sector. These
households are then differentiated into poor and non-poor using the Planning
Commission criteria as mentioned above.
Table II.6. Types of Households by Formal and Informal Categories
(%)
|
RURAL |
|
|
|
|
|
FORMAL |
INFORMAL |
ALL INDIA |
|
POOR |
16.11 |
27.01 |
26.81 |
|
NON POOR |
83.89 |
72.99 |
73.19 |
|
TOTAL |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
URBAN
|
FORMAL |
INFORMAL |
ALL INDIA |
|
POOR |
10.93 |
29.23 |
20.66 |
|
NON POOR |
89.07 |
70.77 |
79.34 |
|
TOTAL |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
ALL HOUSEHOLDS |
|
|
|
|
|
FORMAL |
INFORMAL |
ALL INDIA |
|
POOR |
11.20 |
27.64 |
24.22 |
|
NON POOR |
88.80 |
72.36 |
75.78 |
|
TOTAL |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Table
II.8. Distribution of male member
activity within formal informal
|
MALE |
Rural Formal Non Agriculturist |
Urban Formal |
Rural Informal - Agriculturist |
Rural Informal - Non Agriculturist |
Urban Informal |
|||||
|
|
Poor |
Non Poor |
Poor |
Non Poor |
Poor |
Non Poor |
Poor |
Non Poor |
Poor |
Non Poor |
|
Casual
Labour |
8.87 |
5.23 |
6.23 |
2.20 |
35.50 |
32.19 |
11.39 |
11.31 |
25.14 |
18.14 |
|
Home
Based Labour |
0.11 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.03 |
0.44 |
0.40 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.31 |
0.99 |
|
Regular
Labour |
36.31 |
47.87 |
36.01 |
48.51 |
1.24 |
2.22 |
0.86 |
1.79 |
3.34 |
4.15 |
|
Own
Account Worker |
0.28 |
1.32 |
2.85 |
2.89 |
11.83 |
21.58 |
32.23 |
38.99 |
19.35 |
28.58 |
|
Own
Account Worker - Home Based |
0.02 |
0.09 |
0.19 |
0.19 |
0.79 |
1.44 |
2.15 |
2.60 |
1.29 |
6.58 |
|
Employer
|
0.00 |
0.65 |
0.02 |
0.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
|
Worker |
45.59 |
55.23 |
45.37 |
54.00 |
49.79 |
57.82 |
46.77 |
54.89 |
49.42 |
58.53 |
|
Non
Worker |
54.41 |
44.77 |
54.63 |
46.00 |
50.21 |
42.18 |
53.23 |
45.11 |
50.58 |
41.47 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
|
Total
Percentage by HH category |
0.23% |
0.83% |
1.86% |
9.88% |
22.16% |
38.58% |
3.26% |
8.06% |
5.77% |
9.36% |
|
Table II.9. Distribution of member activity within all households (percent) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FEMALE |
MALE |
|
|
Casual
Labour |
20.8011% |
25.1169% |
|
|
Home
Based Labour |
0.2627% |
0.3801% |
|
|
Regular
Labour |
1.7433% |
7.8248% |
|
|
Own
Account Worker |
3.5242% |
19.2865% |
|
|
Own
Account Worker - Home Based |
0.7945% |
1.7217% |
|
|
Employer
|
0.0012% |
0.0384% |
|
|
Worker |
27.1270% |
54.3684 % |
|
|
Non
Worker |
72.8730% |
45.6316% |
|
|
Total |
100.0000% |
100.0000% |
|
The above tables show that female work force is mostly informal and
even in formal rural households females are engaged more as informal workers.
We have
discussed the data as a base for the modelling structure. We now characterise
the economic system generating the data. We can think of a (general
equilibrium) model as a systematic and internally consistent description of the
behavioural relations, constants and market clearing conditions, which could
have generated the SAM. Moreover, the specific form of the model will determine
how the system reacts when perturbed.
The CGE model developed is of the type
discussed in Devarajan, et al (1996), which are widely used trade focussed
models for developing countries. In this model we intend to characterize the consequences of changes in
trade policy for the distribution of income between the formal and informal
factors (Sinha and Adam, 2000) distinguished by gender and across a variety of
household types. The distribution of factor income flows, both formal and
informal by gender, between household types is treated as parametric, obtained
from the baseline data. This model is similar in character to the CGE
model developed for India, Sinha and Sangeeta (2000) where factors of
production are distinguished six categories divided by gender.
To analyse the
impact of trade policy changes and certain pro-poor domestic policy change we
have designed three simulations using the CGE model. The simulations are:
Simulation 1: A decrease in tariff across the board
in all manufacturing sectors.
Simulation 2: An increase in direct taxes if formal
rich households to compensate the decrease in tariff reduction as in simulation
1. This keeps government revenue unchanged.
We then present here the findings on
the impact of policy changes as noted above on
domestic output and average wages.
|
Table III.1 Percentage Change
in Domestic Output by Sector |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
BASE |
Simulation 01 |
Simulation 02 |
|
|
AGRIC |
576307 |
0.022 |
-0.029 |
|
|
AGROPRF |
90265 |
0.112 |
-0.019 |
|
|
AGROPRIF |
69446 |
0.105 |
-0.003 |
|
|
RGMF |
15422 |
0.474 |
0.649 |
|
|
RGMIF |
5005 |
0.664 |
0.792 |
|
|
OTMGF |
692995 |
-0.105 |
-0.054 |
|
|
OTMGIF |
246384 |
-0.109 |
-0.027 |
|
|
CONST |
235325 |
-0.741 |
-0.172 |
|
|
OTSERF |
818028 |
0.029 |
0.043 |
|
|
OTSERIF |
505641 |
0.040 |
0.093 |
|
|
PUB |
367952 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
|
|
TOTAL |
3622770 |
-0.052 |
-0.002 |
|
The above table shows that there is a
contraction in manufacturing and construction sectors as a result of the two
simulation exercises. As the manufacturing sectors have to pay high tariffs,
opening up accelerates imports in these sectors resulting in domestic
contraction in the short run. On the
other hand, construction, which is a non-tradable sector cannot take advantage
of exporting at a price advantage even though domestic prices fall as a
cascading effect. Hence this sector contracts resulting in massive lay off of
casual workers. So the advantage of increased demand for casual workers in
other sectors is overridden by contraction in the construction sector.
Table III.2 Percentage Change in Real Average wage rate
by skill
|
|
BASE |
Simulation 01 |
Simulation 02 |
|
LCF |
1495.3700 |
0.3293 |
0.1318 |
|
LCM |
3234.4200 |
0.2997 |
0.1730 |
|
LHBF |
808.7500 |
0.3095 |
0.2500 |
|
LHBM |
1970.9000 |
0.3155 |
0.3486 |
|
LRGF |
8443.8400 |
0.3959 |
0.5560 |
|
LRGM |
8865.5200 |
0.2985 |
0.4685 |
|
TOTAL |
24818.8000 |
0.3354 |
0.4228 |
As a result, we see that though all wages increase as a result of trade reforms via lowering of prices, the regular wage earners benefit relatively more than the casual workers. Also w see that women workers benefit more than male earners relatively.
The objective of
this work has been to develop a framework that would enable the impact of
policy changes on workers and households that are distinguished by gendered
members. The basic framework needs a complete mapping of the various sectors,
factors of production and households within a consistent macro framework. While
developing a SAM for constructing a model that can enable the study of policy
changes through very complex relationships that exist in an economy many data
issues have been raised here. Mainly interrelationships amongst sectors and
other actors in the economy had been captured within a theoretical framework.
This is a task that also throws up many concerns as we make our way through the
maze of data while measuring the participation of informal workers in different
sectors.
The
findings show that a large section of the Indian population is involved in
informal operations. There are certain sectors, which have more of informal
activities than others. Apart from the usual agriculture and livestock related
activities we find that activities in textile production, wood and wood
products, other manufacturing, manufacture of miscellaneous metal products,
construction and combined services also have substantial informal share in
production. Share of informal worker in sectors like agriculture, construction, ready made garment
products, agro-processing are higher than
that of formal workers. Further, the study shows that there is higher number of
poorer households within the informal category, which is an expected finding.
This study validates some such characteristics of the informal economy.
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